Features
JUNE / JULY 2007

Asia & Australasia: strong growth but tough competition
Strong growth in China, stability in Japan, growth with falling prices in Australasia

By Adrian Atterby, Disposable Paper Products Analyst Euromonitor International

When analysing the global tissue products market, attention is usually focused on North America and Western Europe.

Nevertheless other regions can offer manufacturers excellent opportunities for differing reasons. Australasia, while being a relatively small market, offers manufacturers a culture, language and business environment similar to that which they are accustomed to in either North America or Europe.

Asia, meanwhile, offers something completely different; a business environment and culture which are totally dissimilar to what Western manufacturers have previously experienced, but at the same time offering excellent possibilities for large scale growth, particularly in China.

TOILET PAPER KING OF ALL MARKETS
The toilet paper market in Australia is the most dynamic tissue product segment according to Euromonitor International. In 2005, the sector witnessed a 10% value growth, driven by the launch of wet toilet tissue, SCA’s Sorbent ‘Clean & Fresh’ being the leading example, and trading up of the product.

However, in 2006, the segment could only manage 1% value growth, despite a 3.5% expansion in volume sales. This was due to stern competition and increases in pack sizes, which restricted any potential price rises. Only 9% of total toilet paper revenue is generated through the sale of private label products in Australia, which is small compared to the Western European markets, and in fact has dropped since 2001 by almost 2 percentage points according to Euromonitor’s research. Toilet paper sales in New Zealand are under even greater pressure, having experienced a revenue decline in 2006 of 6%, despite a 1% growth in volumes. Increasing competition amongst manufacturers, as well as growing consumer preference for larger pack sizes, contributed to a drop in the average price per roll, which then impacted on the overall revenue.

Unlike the Australian market, private label commands a large share of New Zealand toilet paper, with around 28% of the market, although this share has remained stable for the past five years.

A number of premium products have been launched onto the New Zealand market recently, with Sorbent’s ‘Clean & Fresh’ wet toilet tissue again being one of the best examples. However, sales were disappointing, probably not helped by the lack of a major advertising campaign to explain to consumers how to use wet toilet paper. Although it was introduced in 2005, wet toilet paper currently commands less than 1% of the New Zealand toilet paper market in value terms.

In order to fully exploit this new product, manufacturers will need to determine reasons why consumers may want to use it (some medical conditions mean wet toilet paper is more comfortable to use) and then focus promotional and educational activities on the groups most likely to try the product.





SCA and Kimberly-Clark are currently the dominant players in the New Zealand toilet paper market, accounting for more than a 65% share in value terms. However New Zealanders prefer to purchase domestically produced goods whenever possible and Cottonsoft, New Zealand’s largest domestic toilet paper products producer, has seen its share of the toilet paper market grow by 2% in recent years. It has rolled out a new range of economy toilet tissue with features usually only found in premium brands and which have provided strong competition to the global brands.

BOXED FACIAL CLAIM LION’S SHARE OF TISSUE REVENUE
Despite the Australian tissues market being dependent upon boxed facial tissues for 90% of its sales, the most interesting developments of recent times have occurred within the pocket handkerchief segment, particularly in relation to Kimberly-Clark’s anti-viral tissue. This is a classic example of innovative and functional product development influencing consumers’ choice of product. This is particularly the case where premium products have functions that mark them out as unique and exclusive but are still sold at affordable prices.

Interestingly, Euromonitor International’s research shows that private label takes a relatively small share of the facial tissue market in Australia, only 7%, especially low when compared to West European markets such as Germany and the UK. This is probably due to the less mature nature of the Australian retail market. However in the past 18 months both of Australia’s leading retailers, Coles Myer Ltd and Woolworths Ltd, have launched premium private label tissues, helping to raise the profile of private label nationally. With global retail businesses such as Tesco’s actively looking to buy a presence in Australia it is not likely to be long before private label is challenging brands for significant market share.

The opposite is the case in New Zealand, where private label accounts for 23% of the market and where manufacturers such as Progressive Industries, who supply tissues to three of the major supermarket chains, have started to produce premium products which are challenging established brands such as Kleenex and SCA’s Sorbent. It was also expected that health alerts such as SARS and bird flu would encourage better hygiene with consumers preferring disposable tissues over cloth handkerchiefs.

However, this has not been the case as sales revenue from tissues dropped by 6% in 2006, despite volume growth of 1%, probably due to price pressures resulting from such a high presence of private label products. Environmentally friendly features are also proving to be increasingly popular across all tissue product segments in Australasia according to Euromonitor’s research. New Zealanders in particular like their clean, green environment and are keen to preserve it. Some disposable paper products are seen as a threat to this and consumers are demanding choices that ease their conscience. The popular media, the New Zealand education system, and the actions of green lobby groups are keeping environmental
issues to the fore and more and more members of the general public are making their own choices to be environmentally sound.

JAPAN OFFERS STABILITY; CHINA OFFERS GROWTH
Sales in Asia mainly come from the established market of Japan and the emerging market of China. While revenue generated through the sale of tissue products has remained stable in Japan in recent years, due to a fluctuating economic situation and unfavorable demographics, China has raced ahead. In 1997 income from toilet paper sales was roughly similar in both countries. However as Chinese economic prosperity has increased, sales have risen dramatically, and in 2006 the Chinese market was worth double that in Japan: $US3.3 billion versus US$1.6 billion.

The Chinese toilet paper market is currently dominated by domestic players, with the exception being Asia Pulp & Paper. However the majority of the market is split between small, local producers, with nearly 70% of the market going to manufacturers who individually account for less than 1% of the market in value terms according to the latest figures from Euromonitor. As the vast majority of their sales come from economy products, local producers have spent revenue winning market share through deep discounts and multi pack offers, rather than investing in R&D.

Although this strategy helped initially, as consumers ‘trade up’ to higher quality products, this lack of investment will leave the local players extremely vulnerable to increased competition from high quality manufacturers.

Usage of tissue products in many of the major Chinese cities mirrors that of major Western markets, with consumption levels reaching 8 kg per person per year and consumers increasingly demanding premium quality products. The vast majority of sales in China, over 80%, occur through the supermarket/hypermarket channel. This allows larger players, such as Vinda Paper Company, to dominate as they can provide supermarket tissue buyers with a broad range of branded products across numerous categories, something which the smaller producers cannot match.

This continued growth of toilet paper in China, 9% in 2006, has attracted the attention of Western manufacturers, and SCA recently acquired a 20% stake in Vinda Paper, the number two player in toilet paper in China, for around US$50 million.

INNOVATION MAINTAINS CONSUMER INTEREST IN JAPAN

Little opportunity for volume growth exists in the Japanese market, due to unfavorable demographics, according to Euromonitor International.

This has forced manufacturers to innovate at a quickening pace in order to protect both volume shares and revenue. Japanese consumers have a strong predilection for products which are both visually appealing and come complete with fragrant aromas. This has resulted in toilet papers featuring butterflies and music themes (Kleenex Print from Crecia), flowers (Ellair Shower from Daio), toys, balls and rabbits (Nepia Japan no Bi from Oji Nepia) as well as light floral scents.

A further key marketing tactic has been the release of limited edition products, particularly in the facial tissue category, to spark interest and drive sales. Japanese consumers are keen to purchase limited edition products as a way of guaranteeing exclusivity. One of the most extreme examples of this tactic was seen in February 2007 when Oji Nepia launched its ‘Cho Hana Celeb’ boxed facial tissue product. Sold in a 2-pack set for 3,000yen (nearly US$25) and limited to Internet sales only, the 3,000 packs made available sold out in a matter of minutes.

Japanese brands have also focused on using technology to improve sales in the facial tissue market. Nippon Paper Ltd launched the ‘Crecia Fabree’ product at the end of March 2007 offering 220 double-ply tissues.

The major difference between this and other boxed facial tissue offerings is that the carton comes complete with photocatalytic decontamination technology which acts as an air care solution, deodorising and freshening the air. Nippon hopes to sell the product to consumers with pets and babies and for use in cars. This could be the perfect time to launch such a product in Japan as it is currently experiencing a large pet boom and people are very conscious about bacteria and odours.

MULTIPLE MARKETS, MULTIPLE STRATEGIES
In order to exploit the opportunities available in the tissue products markets of Asia and Australasia manufacturers will need to adopt a number of differing strategies. The Japanese market has always been the preserve of domestic producers, who understand the uniqueness of its culture in a way that multi-nationals simply cannot. So far, only Kimberly Clark has managed to compete on an even-footing and even it is coming under increasing pressure from local firms such as Oji Paper Co Ltd, which has seen its share of the largest segment, toilet paper, more than double in the past five years.

Other markets in Asia, and particularly China, offer excellent growth opportunities for brands. Consumers in these countries are keen to buy into the Western lifestyle, the implication of which is that it should be easier to create successful marketing campaigns. Initially, Euromonitor International believes it will be crucial for manufacturers to present the correct product mix to consumers. Although they may wish to sell large quantities of premium products, securing higher margins, the reality of the situation is that consumers are only able to afford economy products, and it is these that brands need to concentrate on providing. The only exception to this rule will be in the large cities in China, where average income and consumption levels for large parts of society have already reached Western levels, and demand for premium products is high.

The situation in Australasia is somewhat similar to Western Europe, in that markets are being squeezed by unfavourable demographics, fierce competition and a very innovative private label sector. In order to achieve success here, Euromonitor International predicts that manufacturers will need to focus on innovation, whilst at the same time keeping prices as competitive as possible. Freight costs, for example, are having a negative effect on New Zealand manufacturers and in April 2006 Cottonsof announced the downsizing of its Dunedin plant in favour of opening a new factory in the heart of the company’s biggest customer base, Auckland.

For every NZ$1.00 Cottonsoft was spending on the Dunedin factory, it was spending NZ$2.00 getting its products to consumers on North Island.TW